Showing posts with label price pattern. Show all posts
Showing posts with label price pattern. Show all posts

Saturday, June 14, 2014

Gold Still Appears to Be On the Brink of Advance and is Showing Buy Signals

Click on Chart to Enlarge

As I have been tracking in recent months, gold prices still are unfolding basically as expected according to the outlined price pattern with somewhat of an inverted head and shoulders appearance.

We now have seen a reversal back above the horizontal line at the $1250 level which I mentioned was key support.  Technically, the daily MACD is in a buy signal now.  And using a momentum and moving average channel technique on the daily chart, it is also in a buy signal.  So this might well have been the low for this correction.  Additionally in comparison to common correction in gold historically, we are in the expected late stages of the price and time expectation for a correction.

Again, fall call options, GDX, GLD, or individual gold miners could all be ways to capitalize on the expected move.

I would highlight GDX, SIL, GOLD, GFI, HMY as possible stocks  and ETFs to analyze technically for buying opportunities based on price pattern and valuation.

Sunday, June 1, 2014

Gold Price Near Possible Price Pattern Low

gold completing a price pattern
Click on Chart to Enlarge

Following up on several recent posts I have made tracking a potential buying opportunity on gold, this chart shows that gold prices are currently at the $1250 level which I consider to be the ideal ending price level for this bottoming pattern.

As the chart notes above suggest, a quick move below that level followed by a move back up and any daily time frame technical buy signal, would be cause for long entry in my opinion.

While not shown on this chart, gold prices have also closed outside the lower daily bollinger bands for 4 straight days.  I have discussed this type of action before in other markets, but it can lead a near immediate rebound.  Additionally, weekly stochastics is now oversold at a high low, and price logic since the beginning of the year, suggests that the upwards move is the more powerful, and so we are sensible to prepare for the possibility of a higher low forming here.

Also please review some charts of gold seasonality and understand that for whatever reason, the June-July time frame is often when gold places a relative low.  And we are now entering that window.

Google results on seasonal charts here.